Three technologies I’m hoping mature this year.

There are three technologies I hope get to the point where I’m willing to buy into them this year. They’re all things I’ve been watching and wanting to buy, but every time I look, they’re not quite where I want.

First — the eBook reality. the first Kindle intrigued me, but I’ve seen the “future of electronic books” before, and so I decided to wait and see. the Kindle actually surpassed my expectations, and now Amazon has introduced Kindle 2, and it’s much better. My primary interest here is to have a good, easy to use/read electronic library, especially of technical stuff, that I can carry around. Reading for recreation on an eReader is less insteresting to me, but couldn’t hurt.

Unfortunately, even thought the new Kindle comes closer, at its current price point, it doesn’t make the cut. I’ll keep waiting. Maybe the rumored Kindle software on mobile phones? We’ll see. but we’re nearing a tipping point where electronic books will make sense, which three years ago, I wasn’t sure we’d ever see. Kindle at half the price? I’d buy it. Today? I am staying on the sidelines.

Second — the convergence of electronics in the living room. I keep waiting for Apple to upgrade the Apple TV to be a real living room dominator. And I guess I’ll keep waiting a while. They’re doing a survey on possible features to a limited audience right now, which indicates to me that they’re now trying to figure that device out and get serious about a “non hobby” product — and I honestly expected to see that product at the last Macworld. So Apple’s product timelines and my expectatons are still in sync. The big limiter here is availability of content, still; for netflix streaming to my Xbox, only about 10% of the items in my queue are avaialble for online delivery. A quick look at iTunes shows that’s not any better. That makes this convenient — but not an option. Yet. And whatever Apple does needs to have 5.1 built in so I don’t need a separate home theater box to drive the speakers…

Something tells me this year is the year companies dive in and seriously try to own the living room. My short list: Apple, Microsoft and Nintendo. One of them will get it right in the next couple of years. If someone else wants to come in and distrupt the market, the window is closing.

Third — For the last few years, we’ve had internet in the house via DSL. This is our third generation of network in the house, going back to 1998 or so when that means leased lines and expensive routers, so it’s amazing how far it’s come. But now, I’m starting to look at what comes next. And what I want is a home network based on EVDO or 3G, a dongle I can carry iwth me when I travel and plug into a device at home to drive the wireless network, with real broadband speeds and reliability. This would allow me to finally dump the landline/DSL (and their monthly payments), and carry my network with me, since when we’re not home, do we really need the netowrk there? Not really. Unfortunately, I’m just not convinced this is ready for prime time — the dongles are there, but the home network interfaces aren’t yet. Unless you know something I don’t know, of course.. I mean, seriously. We use (and are really happy with) DirecTV. The idea of installing cable just to get a modem and fast cable modem speeds instead of DSL irritates me — but that my mom’s home network is faster than mine annoys me. Even though, in reality, I rarely notice my network’s speed, which implies it really isn’t “slow” as much as I’m realizing it’s been a few years since I upgraded….But isn’t that part of being a geek? Oh, and I’d love to do the portable dongle, but I just don’t want to add one more monthly charge to my budget. Unless I can remove one I don’t need, and the logical one seems to be the DSL line, no?

Honestly, I’ve been waiting for Wimax for a while, but the rollout is — problematic, painful and slow. So maybe I’ll stop waiting.

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  • http://tattle.tumblr.com Paul

    These are all things I want too, but for me there is an underlying reason that's making these things less attractive in their current incarnations. I think it all comes down to separating content from the method of delivering that content. Once I've purchased the content, I should be able to view it any way I want. I want to enjoy my book as an audiobook, ebook, and physical book. I've put a fairly lengthy post on my blog discussing these issues (which for some reason didn't trackback yet).

  • Carl de Cordova

    I just got U-Verse from ATT the other day and got rid of my slow, expensive old pots and DSL. Its TV offereings are pretty good, but its DVR is no Tivo. The Voip phone with its free nationwide long distance and compatablity with old POTS phones is almost transparent.

    I was hoping that this would let me turn off the DirectTV Tivos but my wife is violently apposed to loosing the Tivo in the bedroom and I really am not sure about the options for putting a new tivo on the U-verse. The biggest drawback of the U-verse DVR is that you can only watch live tv live and recordings. With the DVR in the living room you cant schedule recordings or pause/rewind live recordings from the “external” boxes in the bedroom and my office.

    The IP options however are kind of hit and miss. I got U-400 which gives me 18mb down and 1.5 up. I have run things like http://www.speedtest.net and have gotten solid results. But I am having quite a time just surfing… it seems totally random as regards loading pages and surfing video on the net. For a lot of stuff I get a worse “experiance” than I got from my old DSL. Aparently there are some issues with the TV, phone and IP sharing the same conncetion into the house. I have also had some troubles with things like dns and latency….

    So, overall its a mixed bag… Sometimes incredibly better than the old DSL but sometimes not as good.

    By the way, your dongle idea is terrific, Chuq… would love to see that come to fruition.

  • http://tattle.tumblr.com Paul

    These are all things I want too, but for me there is an underlying reason that's making these things less attractive in their current incarnations. I think it all comes down to separating content from the method of delivering that content. Once I've purchased the content, I should be able to view it any way I want. I want to enjoy my book as an audiobook, ebook, and physical book.
    I've put a fairly lengthy post on my blog discussing these issues (which for some reason didn't trackback yet).

  • Carl de Cordova

    I just got U-Verse from ATT the other day and got rid of my slow, expensive old pots and DSL. Its TV offereings are pretty good, but its DVR is no Tivo. The Voip phone with its free nationwide long distance and compatablity with old POTS phones is almost transparent.

    I was hoping that this would let me turn off the DirectTV Tivos but my wife is violently apposed to loosing the Tivo in the bedroom and I really am not sure about the options for putting a new tivo on the U-verse. The biggest drawback of the U-verse DVR is that you can only watch live tv live and recordings. With the DVR in the living room you cant schedule recordings or pause/rewind live recordings from the “external” boxes in the bedroom and my office.

    The IP options however are kind of hit and miss. I got U-400 which gives me 18mb down and 1.5 up. I have run things like http://www.speedtest.net and have gotten solid results. But I am having quite a time just surfing… it seems totally random as regards loading pages and surfing video on the net. For a lot of stuff I get a worse “experiance” than I got from my old DSL. Aparently there are some issues with the TV, phone and IP sharing the same conncetion into the house. I have also had some troubles with things like dns and latency….

    So, overall its a mixed bag… Sometimes incredibly better than the old DSL but sometimes not as good.

    By the way, your dongle idea is terrific, Chuq… would love to see that come to fruition.

  • Pingback: Tattle

  • http://twitter.com/handsmobile Mariana Oliveira

    Hey, Chuq.
    All of these worth the waiting. Hope our expectations are compatible!
    Really missed cell phones development. Don't you think this year will be important to this segment?

  • Nathan

    I guess I know something you don't know. :)
    Just announced at CES: Netgear 3G Broadband Wireless Router.
    Available now.

  • Flip

    While Comcast *IS* just another giant evil cable company, their speeds in Santa Clara are impressive.

    On a bad day, I get 12Mbs down and 1Mbs up.

    On a good day, I get 20Mbs down and 2Mbs up.